Pre-tourney Rankings
Mississippi St.
Southeastern
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.9#20
Expected Predictive Rating+14.3#23
Pace68.5#184
Improvement+0.0#179

Offense
Total Offense+9.4#14
First Shot+6.3#26
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#13
Layup/Dunks+1.9#112
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#77
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#105
Freethrows+0.7#125
Improvement+1.1#127

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#45
First Shot+4.0#65
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#44
Layups/Dunks+3.8#43
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#153
Freethrows+1.5#64
Improvement-1.1#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 13.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 93.3% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round72.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen35.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight11.9% n/a n/a
Final Four4.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2.0 - 6.02.0 - 6.0
Quad 1b6.0 - 1.08.0 - 7.0
Quad 24.0 - 3.012.0 - 10.0
Quad 37.0 - 0.019.0 - 10.0
Quad 44.0 - 0.023.0 - 10.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 140   Austin Peay W 95-67 92%     1 - 0 +27.1 +11.6 +13.5
  Nov 11, 2018 193   Hartford W 77-59 96%     2 - 0 +13.2 +1.4 +12.7
  Nov 16, 2018 217   Long Beach St. W 79-51 96%     3 - 0 +22.2 -0.7 +21.4
  Nov 19, 2018 59   Arizona St. L 67-72 74%     3 - 1 +3.3 +0.0 +3.2
  Nov 21, 2018 35   St. Mary's W 61-57 63%     4 - 1 +15.4 +4.0 +12.1
  Nov 26, 2018 349   Alcorn St. W 88-65 99.6%    5 - 1 +2.1 +6.1 -4.2
  Nov 30, 2018 63   @ Dayton W 65-58 66%     6 - 1 +17.5 -2.7 +20.3
  Dec 04, 2018 331   McNeese St. W 90-77 99%     7 - 1 -1.6 +11.1 -12.4
  Dec 08, 2018 29   Clemson W 82-71 58%     8 - 1 +23.8 +22.8 +1.5
  Dec 15, 2018 32   Cincinnati W 70-59 71%     9 - 1 +20.1 +10.7 +10.8
  Dec 19, 2018 25   Wofford W 98-87 66%     10 - 1 +21.7 +26.5 -4.9
  Dec 22, 2018 132   Wright St. W 67-63 87%     11 - 1 +6.5 +7.1 +0.1
  Dec 29, 2018 95   BYU W 103-81 87%     12 - 1 +24.5 +11.1 +9.6
  Jan 08, 2019 62   @ South Carolina L 82-87 OT 66%     12 - 2 0 - 1 +5.6 +1.9 +4.5
  Jan 12, 2019 41   Mississippi L 77-81 75%     12 - 3 0 - 2 +4.0 +6.6 -2.6
  Jan 15, 2019 28   Florida W 71-68 67%     13 - 3 1 - 2 +13.3 +14.5 -0.7
  Jan 19, 2019 142   @ Vanderbilt W 71-55 84%     14 - 3 2 - 2 +20.4 +5.8 +15.5
  Jan 22, 2019 7   @ Kentucky L 55-76 24%     14 - 4 2 - 3 +1.2 -7.2 +8.4
  Jan 26, 2019 11   Auburn W 92-84 54%     15 - 4 3 - 3 +21.9 +18.7 +2.8
  Jan 29, 2019 55   @ Alabama L 79-83 62%     15 - 5 3 - 4 +7.7 +7.1 +0.9
  Feb 02, 2019 41   @ Mississippi W 81-75 55%     16 - 5 4 - 4 +19.6 +12.3 +7.1
  Feb 06, 2019 18   LSU L 88-92 OT 60%     16 - 6 4 - 5 +8.3 +8.1 +0.6
  Feb 09, 2019 7   Kentucky L 67-71 43%     16 - 7 4 - 6 +12.7 +9.7 +2.5
  Feb 12, 2019 55   Alabama W 81-62 80%     17 - 7 5 - 6 +25.1 +16.9 +9.2
  Feb 16, 2019 52   @ Arkansas W 77-67 61%     18 - 7 6 - 6 +22.0 +9.0 +12.8
  Feb 20, 2019 115   @ Georgia W 68-67 78%     19 - 7 7 - 6 +7.7 +7.8 +0.1
  Feb 23, 2019 62   South Carolina W 76-61 82%     20 - 7 8 - 6 +20.1 +10.3 +10.5
  Feb 26, 2019 67   Missouri W 68-49 83%     21 - 7 9 - 6 +23.9 +12.5 +15.2
  Mar 02, 2019 11   @ Auburn L 75-80 33%     21 - 8 9 - 7 +14.5 +8.0 +6.5
  Mar 05, 2019 8   @ Tennessee L 54-71 24%     21 - 9 9 - 8 +5.2 -10.4 +15.3
  Mar 09, 2019 78   Texas A&M W 92-81 86%     22 - 9 10 - 8 +14.5 +19.9 -5.6
  Mar 14, 2019 78   Texas A&M W 80-54 79%     23 - 9 +32.2 +16.6 +17.5
  Mar 15, 2019 8   Tennessee L 76-83 33%     23 - 10 +12.4 +12.8 -0.8
Projected Record 23.0 - 10.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.3 0.0 0.9 12.2 46.0 34.2 6.7 0.0 100.0%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.3 0.0 0.9 12.2 46.0 34.2 6.7 0.0 100.0%